Sunday, January 11, 2009

Swiss Franc Heads Toward Support As Labor Market Weakens

Swiss annual inflation dropped to 0.7% from 1.5% in December on the back of cheaper oil, while unemployment rose to its highest in almost 2 years as the drop in global demand for Swiss goods forced more firms to cut jobs. The labor market is expected to weaken further as slumping demand will lead to more cost cutting.

Swiss annual inflation dropped to 0.7% from 1.5% in December on the back of cheaper oil, while unemployment rose to its highest in almost 2 years as the drop in global demand for Swiss goods forced more firms to cut jobs. The labor market is expected to weaken further as slumping demand will lead to more cost cutting.

The dour economic data added to views that the Swiss National Bank will slash interest rates further and might even turn to unconventional measures to support the economy. Indeed, with the current benchmark rate at 0.50% there is little room for the MPC to operate. We may see the central bank employ a (ZIRP) zero interest rate policy or they could follow the BoJ’s lead and ease by a smaller amount.

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